USAP-DC

{"dp_type": "Dataset", "free_text": "Demography"}

[{"awards": "1840058 Jenouvrier, Stephanie; 1246407 Jenouvrier, Stephanie", "bounds_geometry": ["POLYGON((-180 -60,-144 -60,-108 -60,-72 -60,-36 -60,0 -60,36 -60,72 -60,108 -60,144 -60,180 -60,180 -63,180 -66,180 -69,180 -72,180 -75,180 -78,180 -81,180 -84,180 -87,180 -90,144 -90,108 -90,72 -90,36 -90,0 -90,-36 -90,-72 -90,-108 -90,-144 -90,-180 -90,-180 -87,-180 -84,-180 -81,-180 -78,-180 -75,-180 -72,-180 -69,-180 -66,-180 -63,-180 -60))"], "date_created": "Mon, 27 Jun 2022 00:00:00 GMT", "description": "Individuals differ in many ways. Most produce few offspring; a handful produce many. Some\r\ndie early; others live to old age. It is tempting to attribute these differences in outcomes to differences in individual traits, and thus in the demographic rates experienced. However, there is\r\nmore to individual variation than meets the eye of the biologist. Even among individuals sharing identical traits, life history outcomes (life expectancy and lifetime reproduction) will vary due\r\nto individual stochasticity, i.e., to chance. Quantifying the contributions of heterogeneity and\r\nchance is essential to understanding natural variability. Inter-individual differences vary across environmental conditions, hence heterogeneity and stochasticity depend on environmental conditions. We show that favorable conditions increase the contributions of individual stochasticity, and reduce the contributions of heterogeneity, to variance in demographic outcomes in a seabird population. The opposite is true under poor conditions. This result has important consequence for understanding the ecology and evolution of life history strategies.\r\n\r\nSpecifically, three life-history complexes exist in a population of southern fulmar (defined as sets of life-history characteristics that occur together through the lifetime of an individual). They are reminiscent of the gradient of life- history strategy observed among species:\r\n\r\n1. Group 1 (14% of offspring at fledging) is a slow-paced life history where individuals tend to delay recruitment, recruit successfully, and extend their reproductive lifespan.\r\n2. Group 2 (67% of offspring at fledging) consists of individuals that are less likely to recruit, have high adult survival, and skip breeding often.\r\n3. Group 3 (19% of offspring at fledging) is a fast-paced life history where individuals recruit early and attempt to breed often but have a short lifespan.\r\n\r\nIndividuals in groups 1 and 3 are considered \u201chigh-quality\u201d individuals because they produce, on average, more offspring over their lives than do individuals in group 2. But group 2 is made-up of individuals that experience the highest levels of adult survival.\r\n \r\nDifferences between these groups, i.e. individual heterogeneity, only explains a small fraction of variance in life expectancy (5.9%) and lifetime reproduction (22%) when environmental conditions are ordinary. We expect that the environmental context experienced, especially when environmental conditions get extreme, is key to characterizing individual heterogeneity and its contribution to life history outcomes. Here, we build on previous studies to quantify the impact of extreme environmental conditions on the relative contributions of individual heterogeneity and stochasticity to variance in life history outcomes.\r\nWe found that the differences in vital rates and demographic outcomes among complexes depend on the sea ice conditions individuals experience. Importantly, differences across life history complexes are amplified when sea ice concentration get extremely low. Sea ice conditions did not only affect patterns of life history traits, but also the variance of life history outcomes and the relative proportion of individual unobserved heterogeneity to the total variance. These new results advance the current debate on the relative importance heterogeneity (i.e. potentially adaptive) and stochasticity (i.e. enhances genetic drift) in shaping potentially neutral vs. adaptive changes in life histories.\r\n", "east": 180.0, "geometry": ["POINT(0 -89.999)"], "keywords": "Antarctica; Biology; Biosphere; Birds; Cryosphere; East Antarctica; Southern Fulmar", "locations": "East Antarctica; Antarctica", "north": -60.0, "nsf_funding_programs": "Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems", "persons": "Jenouvrier, Stephanie", "project_titles": "Linking Foraging Behaviors to Demography to understand Albatrosses Population Responses to Climate Change; Polar Seabirds with Long-term Pair Bonds: Effects of Mating on Individual Fitness and Population Dynamics", "projects": [{"proj_uid": "p0010002", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "Linking Foraging Behaviors to Demography to understand Albatrosses Population Responses to Climate Change"}, {"proj_uid": "p0010090", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "Polar Seabirds with Long-term Pair Bonds: Effects of Mating on Individual Fitness and Population Dynamics"}], "repo": "USAP-DC", "repositories": "USAP-DC", "science_programs": null, "south": -90.0, "title": "Demographic outputs and their variances for three life history complexes for the Southern Fulmar across contrasted sea ice conditions.", "uid": "601585", "west": -180.0}, {"awards": "1744794 Jenouvrier, Stephanie", "bounds_geometry": null, "date_created": "Mon, 24 Jan 2022 00:00:00 GMT", "description": "In a fast-changing world, polar ecosystems are threatened by climate variability.\r\nUnderstanding the roles of fine-scale processes, and linear and nonlinear effects of climate factors on the demography of polar species is crucial for anticipating the future state of these fragile ecosystems. While the effects of sea ice on polar marine top predators are increasingly being studied, little is known about the impacts of landfast ice (LFI) on this species community. Based on a unique 39-year time series of satellite imagery and in situ meteorological conditions and on the world\u2019s longest dataset of emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) breeding parameters, we studied the effects of fine-scale variability of LFI andweather conditions on this species\u2019 reproductive success. We found that longer distances to the LFI edge (i.e. foraging areas) negatively affected the overall breeding success but also the fledging success. Climate window analyses suggested that chick mortality was particularly sensitive\r\nto LFI variability between August and November. Snowfall in May also affected hatching success. Given the sensitivity of LFI to storms and changes in wind direction, important future repercussions on the breeding habitat of emperor penguins are to be expected in the context of climate change.\r\n\r\nThese files contain the code and data from this manuscript. ", "east": null, "geometry": null, "keywords": "Antarctica; Breeding Success; Cryosphere; Emperor Penguin; Fast Sea Ice", "locations": "Antarctica", "north": null, "nsf_funding_programs": "Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems", "persons": "Jenouvrier, Stephanie; Labrousse, Sara", "project_titles": "A Multi-scale Approach to Understanding Spatial and Population Variability in Emperor Penguins", "projects": [{"proj_uid": "p0010229", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "A Multi-scale Approach to Understanding Spatial and Population Variability in Emperor Penguins"}], "repo": "USAP-DC", "repositories": "USAP-DC", "science_programs": null, "south": null, "title": "Landfast ice: a major driver of reproductive success in a polar seabird", "uid": "601513", "west": null}, {"awards": "1543498 Ballard, Grant; 0440643 Ainley, David; 0944411 Ainley, David; 0944141 Ballard, Grant; 0439759 Ballard, Grant; 1543459 Dugger, Katie; 1935901 Dugger, Katie; 0944358 Dugger, Katie; 0439200 Dugger, Katie; 1935870 Ballard, Grant; 1543541 Ainley, David", "bounds_geometry": ["POINT(166 -77)"], "date_created": "Wed, 12 May 2021 00:00:00 GMT", "description": "This project is an international collaborative investigation of geographic structuring, founding of new colonies, and population change of Adelie penguins (Pygoscelis adelia) nesting on Ross and Beaufort islands, Antarctica. This ongoing study will continue to consider the relative importance of resources that constrain or enhance colony growth (nesting habitat, access to food); the aspects of natural history that are affected by exploitative or interference competition among neighboring colonies (breeding success, foraging effort); climatic factors that influence the latter, especially sea ice patterns; and behavioral mechanisms that influence colony growth as a function of initial size and location (emigration, immigration). The research includes a census of known-age penguins, studies of foraging effort and overlap among colonies; and identification of the location of molting and wintering areas. ", "east": 166.0, "geometry": ["POINT(166 -77)"], "keywords": "Adelie Penguin; Antarctica; Biosphere; Cryosphere; Demography; Mark-Recapture; Monitoring; Penguin; Ross Island", "locations": "Ross Island; Antarctica", "north": -77.0, "nsf_funding_programs": "Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems", "persons": "Ballard, Grant", "project_titles": "A Full Lifecycle Approach to Understanding Ad\u00e9lie Penguin Response to Changing Pack Ice Conditions in the Ross Sea.; COLLABORATIVE: Adelie Penguin Response to Climate Change at the Individual, Colony and Metapopulation Levels; COLLABORATIVE: Geographic Structure of Adelie Penguin Colonies - Demography of Population Change; Population Growth at the Southern Extreme: Effects of Early Life Conditions on Adelie penguin Individuals and Colonies", "projects": [{"proj_uid": "p0010179", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "Population Growth at the Southern Extreme: Effects of Early Life Conditions on Adelie penguin Individuals and Colonies"}, {"proj_uid": "p0000318", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "COLLABORATIVE: Adelie Penguin Response to Climate Change at the Individual, Colony and Metapopulation Levels"}, {"proj_uid": "p0000068", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "COLLABORATIVE: Geographic Structure of Adelie Penguin Colonies - Demography of Population Change"}, {"proj_uid": "p0010177", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "A Full Lifecycle Approach to Understanding Ad\u00e9lie Penguin Response to Changing Pack Ice Conditions in the Ross Sea."}], "repo": "USAP-DC", "repositories": "USAP-DC", "science_programs": null, "south": -77.0, "title": "Adelie penguin resighting data 1997-2021 from the California Avian Data Center hosted by Point Reyes Bird Observatory Conservation Science", "uid": "601444", "west": 166.0}, {"awards": "1543459 Dugger, Katie; 1543541 Ainley, David; 0944141 Ballard, Grant; 0439759 Ballard, Grant; 1543498 Ballard, Grant", "bounds_geometry": ["POINT(166 -77)"], "date_created": "Tue, 11 May 2021 00:00:00 GMT", "description": "This project is an international collaborative investigation of geographic structuring, founding of new colonies, and population change of Adelie penguins (Pygoscelis adelia) nesting on Ross and Beaufort islands, Antarctica. This ongoing study will continue to consider the relative importance of resources that constrain or enhance colony growth (nesting habitat, access to food); the aspects of natural history that are affected by exploitative or interference competition among neighboring colonies (breeding success, foraging effort); climatic factors that influence the latter, especially sea ice patterns; and behavioral mechanisms that influence colony growth as a function of initial size and location (emigration, immigration). The research includes a census of known-age penguins, studies of foraging effort and overlap among colonies; and identification of the location of molting and wintering areas. ", "east": 166.0, "geometry": ["POINT(166 -77)"], "keywords": "Adelie Penguin; Antarctica; Biosphere; Cryosphere; Demography; Penguin; Ross Sea; Seabirds", "locations": "Ross Sea; Antarctica", "north": -77.0, "nsf_funding_programs": "Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems; Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems; Antarctic Instrumentation and Support; Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems; Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems", "persons": "Ballard, Grant", "project_titles": "A Full Lifecycle Approach to Understanding Ad\u00e9lie Penguin Response to Changing Pack Ice Conditions in the Ross Sea.; COLLABORATIVE: Geographic Structure of Adelie Penguin Colonies - Demography of Population Change", "projects": [{"proj_uid": "p0000068", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "COLLABORATIVE: Geographic Structure of Adelie Penguin Colonies - Demography of Population Change"}, {"proj_uid": "p0010177", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "A Full Lifecycle Approach to Understanding Ad\u00e9lie Penguin Response to Changing Pack Ice Conditions in the Ross Sea."}], "repo": "USAP-DC", "repositories": "USAP-DC", "science_programs": null, "south": -77.0, "title": "Adelie penguin banding data 1994-2021 from the California Avian Data Center hosted by Point Reyes Bird Observatory Conservation Science", "uid": "601443", "west": 166.0}, {"awards": "1246407 Jenouvrier, Stephanie", "bounds_geometry": ["POLYGON((68.5 -48.5,68.725 -48.5,68.95 -48.5,69.175 -48.5,69.4 -48.5,69.625 -48.5,69.85 -48.5,70.075 -48.5,70.3 -48.5,70.525 -48.5,70.75 -48.5,70.75 -48.65,70.75 -48.8,70.75 -48.95,70.75 -49.1,70.75 -49.25,70.75 -49.4,70.75 -49.55,70.75 -49.7,70.75 -49.85,70.75 -50,70.525 -50,70.3 -50,70.075 -50,69.85 -50,69.625 -50,69.4 -50,69.175 -50,68.95 -50,68.725 -50,68.5 -50,68.5 -49.85,68.5 -49.7,68.5 -49.55,68.5 -49.4,68.5 -49.25,68.5 -49.1,68.5 -48.95,68.5 -48.8,68.5 -48.65,68.5 -48.5))"], "date_created": "Mon, 03 Dec 2018 00:00:00 GMT", "description": "1. Studies of the mechanisms underlying climate-induced population changes are critically needed to better understand and accurately predict population responses to climate change. Long-lived migratory species might be particularly vulnerable to climate change as they are constrained by different climate conditions and energetic requirements during the breeding and non-breeding seasons. Yet, most studies primarily focus on the breeding season of these species life cycle. Environmental conditions experienced in the non-breeding season may have downstream effects on the other stages of the annual life cycle. Not investigating such effects may potentially lead to erroneous inferences about population dynamics.\r\n2. Combining demographic and tracking data collected between 2006 and 2013 at Kerguelen Island on a long-lived migratory seabird, the Black-Browed Albatross (Thalassarche melanophris), we investigated the links between sea surface temperature during the non-breeding season and behavioural and phenological traits (at-sea behaviour and migratory schedules) while accounting for different responses between birds of different sex and reproductive status (previously failed or successful breeders). We then explored whether variation in the foraging behaviour and timing of spring migration influenced subsequent reproductive performance.\r\n3. Our results showed that foraging activity and migratory schedules varied by both sex and reproductive status suggesting different energetic requirements and constraints among individuals. Higher sea surface temperatures during late winter, assumed to reflect poor winter conditions, were associated with an earlier departure from the wintering grounds and an extended pre-breeding period. However, an earlier spring migration and an earlier return to Kerguelen grounds were associated with a lower breeding success.\r\n4. Our results highlighted that behaviour during some periods of the non-breeding season, particularly towards the end of the wintering period and the pre-breeding period, had a significant effect on the subsequent reproductive success. Therefore caution needs to be given to all stages of the annual cycle when predicting the influence of climate on population dynamics.", "east": 70.75, "geometry": ["POINT(69.625 -49.25)"], "keywords": "Albatross; Animal Behavior Observation; Antarctica; Biology; Biosphere; Birds; Black-Browed Albatross (Thalassarche Melanophris); Field Investigations; foraging; Kerguelen Island; Ocean Island/Plateau; Southern Ocean", "locations": "Kerguelen Island; Antarctica; Southern Ocean", "north": -48.5, "nsf_funding_programs": "Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems", "persons": "Jenouvrier, Stephanie", "project_titles": "Linking Foraging Behaviors to Demography to understand Albatrosses Population Responses to Climate Change", "projects": [{"proj_uid": "p0010002", "repository": "USAP-DC", "title": "Linking Foraging Behaviors to Demography to understand Albatrosses Population Responses to Climate Change"}], "repo": "USAP-DC", "repositories": "USAP-DC", "science_programs": null, "south": -50.0, "title": "Linking oceanographic conditions, migratory schedules and foraging behaviour during the non-breeding season to reproductive performance in a long-lived seabird", "uid": "601140", "west": 68.5}]

View results on map Help on results map