USAP-DC

The goal of this project is to understand the drivers of pair disruption and quantify its resulting effects on individual fitness components and population growth rate and structure for two procellariiformes breeding in the Southern Ocean: the wandering albatross and the snow petrel, which both form long-lasting pair bonds. The mechanisms of pair disruption may be contrasted between these species, as pair disruption in wandering albatross may occur with the death of a partner by incidental by-catch in fisheries, while in snow petrels it may occur through divorce and climate-related conditions. Unique long-term individual mark-recapture data sets exist for these iconic polar species, allowing for a comprehensive study of the rates, causes and consequences of pair disruption and how they differ among species. This study will result in the most detailed analysis to date of the impact of social monogamy and long-term pair bonds on individual fitness components (vital rates: survival, recruitment and fecundity; life-history outcomes: life expectancy, age at 1st breeding and lifetime reproductive success; and occupancy times: duration of pair bond or widowhood) and population growth and structure (e.g, sex ratio of individuals available for mating). Specifically, the investigators will assess: 1. Variations in pair disruption rates, and if they are related to global change (by-catch in the case of albatross widowing, and climate in the case of petrel divorce) by developing a state-of-the-art statistical multievent mark-recapture model. 2. Impacts of pair disruption on vital rates, specifically whether i) greater familiarity and better coordination within pairs improves breeding performance and survival, ii) mating costs reduce the probability of breeding and iii) divorce is more likely to occur after a breeding failure. 3. Impacts of pair disruption on life-history outcomes and occupancy times using Markov chain stochastic life cycle models. 4. Impacts of pair disruption on population dynamics by developing a novel non-linear two-sex matrix population model. The investigators will develop novel sensitivity and Life Table Response Experiment analyses to examine the respective effects of fisheries, climate, vital rates, and pair-disruption rates on life-history outcomes, occupancy times, and population growth and structure, and their variations among year and species.

Person	Role
Jenouvrier, Stephanie	Investigator and contact

Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems

Award # 1840058

USAP-1840058_1

None in the Database

Repository	Title (link)	Format(s)	Status
https://rs.figshare.com/	Supplementary material from "Boldness predicts divorce rates in wandering albatrosses	None	exists
USAP-DC	Causes and consequences of pair-bond disruption in a sex-skewed population of a long-lived monogamous seabird: the wandering Albatross	Not Provided	exists
USAP-DC	Demographic outputs and their variances for three life history complexes for the Southern Fulmar across contrasted sea ice conditions.	Not Provided	exists

1. Fay R. , Authier M., Hamel H., Jenouvrier S., van de Pol M., Cam E., Gaillard J-M., Yoccoz N.G., Acker A., Allen A., Aubry L.M., Bonenfant C., Caswell H., Coste C.F.D, Larue B., Le Cœur C., Gamelon M., MacDonald K.R., Moiron M., Nicol-Harper A., Pelletier F., Rotella J., Teplitsky C., Touzot L., Wells C., Sæther B-E. Quantifying fixed individual heterogeneity in demographic parameters: Performance of correlated random effects for Bernoulli variables. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 13: 91-104. (doi:10.1111/2041-210X.13728)
2. Van de Walle J., Pelletier F., Zedrosser A., Swenson J. E., Jenouvrier S., et Bischof R. 2021. The interplay between hunting rate, hunting selectivity, and reproductive strategies shapes population dynamics of a large carnivore. Evolutionary Applications, 14: 2414-2432. (doi:10.1111/eva.13253.)
3. Sun, R., Barbraud, C., Weimerskirch, H., Delord, K., Patrick, S. C., Caswell, H., & Jenouvrier, S. 2022. Causes and consequences of pair‐bond disruption in a sex‐skewed population of a long‐lived monogamous seabird. Ecological Monographs, 92(3). Portico. (doi:10.1002/ecm.1522)
4. Sun, R., Van de Walle, J., Patrick, S. C., Barbraud, C., Weimerskirch, H., Delord, K., & Jenouvrier, S. (2022). Boldness predicts divorce rates in wandering albatrosses (Diomedea exulans). Biology Letters, 18(9). (doi:10.1098/rsbl.2022.0301)
5. Fay R., Hamel S., van de Pol M., Gaillard J.M., Yoccoz N.G., Acker P., Authier M., Larue B., Le Coeur C., Macdonald K.R., Nicol-Harper A., Barbraud C., Bonenfant C., Van Vuren D.H., Cam ., Delord K., Gamelon M., Moiron M., Pelletier F., Rotella J., Teplitsky C., Visser M.E, Wells C.P., Wheelwright N.T., Jenouvrier S.†, Sæther B.E.† 2022. Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species. Ecology Letters, 25:1640–1654. (doi:10.1111/ele.14026. )
6. Sun R., Van de Walle J., Patrick S.C., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H., Delord K., Jenouvrier S. 2022. Boldness predicts divorce rates in wandering albatrosses (Diomedea exulans). Biology Letters, 18: 20220301. (doi:10.1098/rsbl.2022.0301.)
7. Jenouvrier S., Aubry L., Van Daalen S., Barbraud C., Weimerskirch H. and Caswell H. 2022.  When the going gets tough, the tough get going: effect of extreme climate on an Antarctic seabird’s life history. Ecology Letters, 25: 2120-2131. (doi:10.1111/ele.14076.)
8. Lee JR, Terauds A, Carwardine J, Shaw JD, Fuller RA, Possingham HP, et al. (2022) Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity. PLoS Biol 20(12): e3001921. (doi:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3001921)