IEDA
Project Information
CAREER: Feedbacks and Tipping Dynamics in Earth System Models with Interactive Ice Sheets
Short Title:
CAREER: iESM Tipping
Start Date:
2026-09-01
End Date:
2031-08-31
Description/Abstract
Global ocean currents and polar ice sheets are subject to variability and change, and can interact with each other in surprising ways. For example, increased melt from Antarctica’s floating ice shelves would freshen and therefore slow Southern Ocean currents, affecting heat transport towards the ice and hence its melt rate. Historically modelled separately, this project will develop an advanced Earth System Model that will include all major components (atmosphere, biosphere, ocean, and cryosphere), enabling transformative studies of global ice-ocean interactions. Simulations will be used to study how the polar ice sheets, ocean current systems, and other aspects of the Earth System respond to the changing environment and investigate presence and triggers of tipping points of Antarctic and Southern Ocean change. This project will prepare the U.S. STEM workforce for a data science and computational future through training of PhD students and interdisciplinary cohorts of undergraduate researchers from Earth System Science, Engineering, and Applied Math/Physics departments. The new data products and research results produced by the students will be integrated into new teaching materials for Earth System Science courses of all levels, which will be evaluated using surveys to quantify their effectiveness and shared with external instructors through centralized education platforms. This project aims to develop a new version of the Community Earth System Model that will be the first to include a dynamic representation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet and will therefore be uniquely suited for research on coupled ice-ocean feedbacks. This project will assess several methods of simulating the ocean cavities under floating ice shelves using simplified dynamics. A single high-resolution simulation that directly resolves the currents under ice shelves will be run to benchmark the coarser simulations. The team will quantify the response of the fully-coupled system to radiative forcing using a series of ramp-up and down simulations. By artificially turning off ice-ocean coupling the team will test their central hypothesis - coupled ice-ocean feedbacks act to amplify the forcing response of the ice sheets and ocean circulation. Paid undergraduate research assistants will use the output from these simulations to quantify the impacts of these feedbacks on temperature patterns and global sea levels and to develop reduced-form models of the emergent ice-ocean dynamics. This award reflects NSF''s statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation''s intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.
Personnel
Person Role
Drake, Henri Investigator and contact
Funding
Antarctic Integrated System Science Award # 2543908
AMD - DIF Record(s)
USAP-2543908_1
Data Management Plan
None in the Database
Product Level:
4 (model output and interpretations)

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